Who Still Benefits from Aspirin for Primary Prevention in 2026?
Aspirin is no longer recommended for broad primary prevention. USPSTF (2022) advises against initiation in ≥60 and supports individualized decisions in 40–59 with 10-year ASCVD ≥10% and low bleed risk. ARRIVE, ASPREE, and ASCEND each showed small ischemic benefit offset by bleeding. For most primary-prevention patients already on aspirin without a clear indication, consider discontinuing — particularly after age 70.
Evidence review
Pivotal trials, effect sizes, and the populations they studied. PubMed identifiers link directly to the source.
ASPREE (2018)
PMID 3022159519,114 healthy adults ≥70
Aspirin 100 mg did not reduce CV events (HR 0.95); increased major bleeding (HR 1.38) and all-cause mortality (HR 1.14).
ASCEND (2018)
PMID 3014693115,480 adults with diabetes, no CVD
Aspirin 100 mg reduced vascular events 12% (HR 0.88) but increased major bleeding 29% (HR 1.29) — net benefit marginal.
ARRIVE (2018)
PMID 3015806912,546 moderate-risk primary prevention
No reduction in CV events (HR 0.96) with aspirin; doubled GI bleeding (HR 2.11).
Practical decision algorithm
| If | Then |
|---|---|
| Age ≥60 without ASCVD | Do not initiate aspirin. Consider discontinuing if already started without clear indication. |
| Age 40–59, 10-year ASCVD ≥10%, low bleeding risk | Shared decision — small net benefit possible. Favor only if ASCVD >20% and no bleed risk factors. |
| Age <40 | Aspirin not recommended for primary prevention except in familial hypercholesterolemia with additional risk. |
| Colorectal cancer prevention in high-risk lynch syndrome | Aspirin 600 mg/day reasonable (CAPP2 evidence) — individualized decision with GI. |
| Established ASCVD, CABG, or prior stroke/TIA | Aspirin still indicated — this is secondary prevention, different calculus. |
Guideline position
USPSTF 2022: Grade C for 40–59 with 10-year ASCVD ≥10% and low bleed risk; Grade D for ≥60 (recommend against). ACC/AHA 2019: aspirin may be considered for primary prevention in 40–70 at high ASCVD risk without bleed risk (Class 2b).
Contraindications and cautions
- Prior GI bleed or peptic ulcer without PPI coverage
- Bleeding diathesis or platelet disorder
- Recent hemorrhagic stroke
- Age ≥70 (per ASPREE) — bleeding risk dominates
- Severe anemia with unclear cause